Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.334533 3.976587 4.745798 5.746321 7.029729 8.643586 10.863629
2024-10-06 2.419169 3.184070 4.227938 5.801279 8.195769 11.853465 18.190980
2024-10-13 1.932519 2.693646 3.816167 5.671515 8.833381 14.374616 25.834810
2024-10-20 1.690186 2.469956 3.697364 5.895426 10.045797 18.338928 38.904576
2024-10-27 1.454630 2.200311 3.431993 5.776499 10.576124 21.263554 52.376800
2024-11-03 1.367030 2.146746 3.504778 6.274283 12.505536 28.346422 85.296081
2024-11-10 1.255455 2.030514 3.438680 6.476783 13.879926 35.043337 128.219106
2024-11-17 1.177509 1.958985 3.438100 6.812297 15.732212 44.641661 205.796889
2024-11-24 1.072399 1.821080 3.281272 6.754104 16.527730 51.559186 291.554946
2024-12-01 0.997298 1.728915 3.199994 6.852752 17.837295 61.830993 448.038203
2024-12-08 0.927555 1.637546 3.104294 6.890643 18.996371 72.951751 689.205915
2024-12-15 0.887282 1.599345 3.116906 7.216754 21.325522 93.252966 1285.510162
2024-12-22 0.810108 1.487156 2.970474 7.145546 22.526115 111.897781 2365.133493
2024-12-29 0.747734 1.400408 2.874598 7.219682 24.537736 142.593873 5650.131422
2025-01-05 0.681705 1.295914 2.715325 7.048525 25.417124 168.315973 12702.444555
2025-01-12 0.646606 1.254148 2.702483 7.343854 28.819814 232.825201 66267.820005
2025-01-19 0.595960 1.170605 2.567733 7.186889 29.833630 277.445858 325717.184634
2025-01-26 0.582786 1.171083 2.653462 7.845482 36.274209 451.929145 NaN
2025-02-02 0.555893 1.135529 2.634574 8.114578 40.784329 652.254020 NaN
2025-02-09 0.536679 1.115841 2.656576 8.561883 47.365588 1040.094157 NaN
2025-02-16 0.503998 1.058985 2.560626 8.484173 49.856215 1362.544182 NaN
2025-02-23 0.479991 1.021160 2.515144 8.615937 54.554652 2002.507991 NaN
2025-03-02 0.456089 0.980924 2.455683 8.666589 58.770057 2908.898891 NaN